Bitcoin Price Prediction: Binance Inflows Just Hit a 4-Year Low – Violent Move Above $100K is Next

By: crypto insight|2026/01/30 05:00:00
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Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin inflows into Binance have dropped to their lowest in four years, potentially signaling a tight supply ahead.
  • Technical analysis shows Bitcoin hovering around key price levels, with compressing patterns indicating upcoming volatility.
  • Breakout levels are critical for Bitcoin to surpass $100,000, with significant market momentum waiting on the sidelines.
  • Bitcoin Hyper is enhancing BTC’s ecosystem by incorporating Solana-level speed, fostering new growth avenues for developers and traders.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-01-29 17:27:10

As blockchain technology continues to revolutionize financial systems globally, the spotlight once again shifts to Bitcoin, particularly in the context of recent market dynamics. Notably, Binance, the world’s largest spot trading platform, has reported Bitcoin inflows hitting their lowest point in roughly four years. This pattern often foreshadows a major price change, leaving traders and investors poised for the next significant move. Could this be the precursor to Bitcoin’s leap above the momentous $100,000 threshold?

Binance Inflows: Sign of a Supply Squeeze?

An analysis of on-chain data reveals a dwindling amount of Bitcoin moving into Binance. The monthly inflow average hovers at approximately 5,700 BTC, a figure that echoes the accumulation periods from 2020 to 2022. In cryptocurrency terms, such a reduction often indicates a decreasing intention among holders to sell their assets, leading to a tighter supply when demand continues to persist.

This scenario could be critical for the market. With Binance dominating spot trading activity, a reduction in available Bitcoin on such a platform could alleviate selling pressure. The consequence? A potentially explosive price rise should demand surge. While some spot Bitcoin ETFs recently experienced outflows of about $147 million, long-term holders appear steadfast, keeping their holdings away from exchanges, thereby cushioning the market from drastic volatility.

Recent price fluctuations affirm this stability. Bitcoin’s price managed to breach $90,000 on January 28 but retreated without triggering wide-scale panic selling, suggesting continued accumulation by investors and reinforcing a strategy where existing holders prefer to wait for stronger price action.

Bitcoin’s Technical Trajectory: A Tightening Triangle

Looking at Bitcoin’s technical indicators, the market exhibits a compressing pattern. Currently trading around $87,900, Bitcoin finds substantial support between $87,500 and $88,000. Observers note a descending triangle forming, marked by lower highs stemming from a previous peak near $97,500.

From a technical viewpoint, this compression signifies increasing pressure. Still, Bitcoin remains below the 50- and 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), positioned between $90,000 and $90,500. This dynamic underscores short-term uncertainties, awaiting a robust breakout to signal a definitive upward move.

Key Breakout Levels

The market teeters on the brink of a decisive shift. A breach above the descending trendline and EMA cluster could pivot momentum upward swiftly, unlocking doors to a potential $100,000 trajectory. Conversely, should Bitcoin falter and dip below $87,500, the bullish forecast would need to adjust. Such a downturn could direct Bitcoin towards support levels at $86,100 and $84,100 — zones with pronounced buying interest.

Investor vigilance focuses on ensuring Bitcoin maintains higher lows above $86,000 alongside sustained low exchange inflows. Such conditions favor a phase of intense trading followed by abrupt, significant movements that might catch unprepared participants off-guard, making strategic positioning crucial.

Bitcoin Hyper: Pioneering a New BTC Era on Solana

In parallel to Bitcoin’s technical developments, Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is poised to usher a new era in the blockchain ecosystem. While Bitcoin remains unparalleled for its security framework, Bitcoin Hyper introduces the agility that Solana’s speed affords. This innovation promises lightning-fast and cost-effective smart contracts, decentralized applications, and even the creation of meme coins, all underpinned by Bitcoin’s robust security apparatus.

Audited by Consult, Bitcoin Hyper emphasizes trust and scalability — two essential attributes as adoption scales. The presale alone has generated impressive momentum, crossing the $31 million mark, with pricing set attractively at $0.013645 per token before the next phase.

As the desire for efficient BTC-based applications mounts, Bitcoin Hyper stands as a pivotal connector between two crypto giants — harnessing Bitcoin’s foundation to propel dynamic, user-friendly applications. It represents a resurgence of flexibility and innovation within the blockchain realm, encouraging both developers and traders to engage in an ecosystem that promises not only strength but adaptability.

Crypto Community Sentiment and Projections

The excitement in the crypto community is palpable, as enthusiasts eagerly await Bitcoin’s next big leap. On social media platforms like Twitter, discussions abound concerning Bitcoin’s potential breakthrough to over $100,000, fueled by these recent supply dynamics and technological advancements within the ecosystem.

Investors remain cognizant of broader market trends and regulatory developments that could influence future movements. The anticipation is not only about reaching new price heights but also about sustaining growth through innovation and responsible management of digital assets.

Conclusion

The coming weeks could be transformative in Bitcoin’s journey, as market participants brace for potential volatility driven by diminishing Binance inflows and crucial technical patterns. Coupled with the evolutionary strides being made by projects like Bitcoin Hyper, the stage is set for a period of dynamic growth and opportunity.

Whether you’re a seasoned investor, a tech aficionado, or simply captivated by the forces shaping our digital futures, the message is clear: keep a watchful eye on the unfolding blockchain narrative. As always, informed engagement remains key in navigating the exciting, albeit occasionally unpredictable, world of cryptocurrencies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a drop in Bitcoin inflows to Binance mean for investors?

A decrease in Bitcoin inflows to Binance suggests reduced selling pressure and can be indicative of a supply squeeze. This often leads to increased price volatility, signaling potential upward movement as demand outstrips available supply.

Could Bitcoin surpass the $100,000 mark soon?

If Bitcoin breaks key technical barriers, including descending trendlines and EMA clusters, momentum could propel its price upward significantly. However, achieving and maintaining this level will depend on market dynamics and sustained demand.

How does Bitcoin Hyper enhance the BTC ecosystem?

Bitcoin Hyper brings Solana-level speed and efficiency to the Bitcoin ecosystem, enabling faster, cost-effective smart contracts and decentralized apps. This merger enhances Bitcoin’s utility without compromising on its fundamental security advantages.

Why are long-term Bitcoin holders not selling despite market fluctuations?

Long-term holders might not sell during fluctuations due to a belief in Bitcoin’s intrinsic value and a strategy focused on capitalizing on potentially higher future prices. This group tends to prioritize long-term gains over short-term market movements.

What role does community sentiment play in Bitcoin’s price dynamics?

Community sentiment can drive demand and influence market trends. Positive sentiment, spurred by developments such as decreased inflows to exchanges, can propel buying interest, while negative sentiments can lead to sell-offs. Social media platforms frequently amplify these sentiments, impacting overall market behavior.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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