Castle Securities points out that the current Federal Reserve policy keeps long-term U.S. Treasury yields at decades-high levels, which may pose broader market risks. Despite recent cooling in inflation and employment data, the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond briefly rose to 5.28%, the highest level in 19 years, indicating that the market remains vigilant about long-term inflation pressures and fiscal risks. The agency believes that inflation pressures have not fully dissipated, and there is considerable uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's next policy decision, with the interest rate path likely to continue impacting asset prices.
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