「Leading Lady」 Noble Leaves the Stage, Is the Cosmos Ecosystem Now a 「Hollowed Shell」?

By: blockbeats|2026/01/21 18:00:01
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Original Title: "Noble Leads the Way Out, Another Solid Confirmation of 'Cosmos Is Dead'?"
Original Author: Sanqing, Foresight News

On January 20, Cosmos application chain Noble, focused on stablecoins, announced that it would migrate from the Cosmos ecosystem to an independent EVM L1 network. The Noble EVM is scheduled to launch on March 18, and the team will continue to support Cosmos-based blockchains in the short term. After the migration, Noble's own USDN stablecoin will become a core feature of the EVM L1, with the NOBLE token serving as a governance asset, closely tied to protocol decisions and the usage of stablecoins across the entire network.

「Leading Lady」 Noble Leaves the Stage, Is the Cosmos Ecosystem Now a 「Hollowed Shell」?

Image Source: Noble Twitter

Subsequently, the founder of Cosmos responded in a post, stating that Noble's transition is not a deviation from the vision of Cosmos, but rather an embodiment of the core concept of "sovereignty and interoperability." Noble's migration does not mean a disconnect from the Cosmos Hub. Instead, through the IBC v2 protocol, the migrated Noble EVM will become a key bridge connecting the EVM ecosystem with the Cosmos economy. He stated, "We are entering an era not defined by chains, but by liquidity."

Cosmos's Stablecoin Ace, Why Choose to Exit?

Noble is one of the most successful stablecoin infrastructure projects in the Cosmos ecosystem. It is the chain that natively issued Circle's USDC to the Cosmos ecosystem, distributing USDC securely and frictionlessly to 50+ chains through IBC, processing over $22 billion in transaction volume to date.

Noble's presence has given the Cosmos ecosystem a competitive edge with a "native stablecoin" and has avoided reliance on trust risks from external bridges.

But why did Noble choose to migrate? The reason given by the Noble team is very practical:

The EVM ecosystem is overwhelmingly dominant. Over 75% of the stablecoin market is on EVM chains. Developers, tools, wallets, dApps are all concentrated on EVM, and since Noble aims to be the "L1 stablecoin infrastructure," it naturally has to follow the money and people.

The EVM technology stack is more developer-friendly. The EVM has a mature toolset including Solidity, Remix, Hardhat, etc., making it easier to integrate protocols like Uniswap, Aave. Although the Cosmos SDK is powerful, it has a steep learning curve, and its ecosystem tools are relatively behind.

The EVM has better performance and real-world use cases. Noble EVM aims for sub-second latency, targeting scenarios such as payments, embedded finance, agentic commerce, FX, etc. While Cosmos' Tendermint consensus is reliable, the EVM stack can better align with mainstream payment chains.

Noble has its own strategic ambitions. Noble doesn't want to be just a "workhorse" within Cosmos but aims to become an independent high-performance stablecoin Layer 1, directly competing with other stablecoin public chain projects.

Therefore, Noble voted with its feet. Cosmos provided the initial groundwork, but the EVM offers it a scalable future.

Noble's Departure Took Away Cosmos's "Half-Life"

Noble is Cosmos's only "super giant." Noble's 30-day IBC transaction volume reached USD 93.84 million, which is 1.8 times that of the second-ranking Osmosis (USD 50.06 million). Within the 110 Zones linked by Cosmos IBC, Noble contributed at a ruptive level of liquidity.

Image Source: MAP OF ZONES

Noble is the "faucet" for institutional funds. Osmosis has nearly 900,000 transactions, while Noble has only 73,000. This means that Noble's single transaction value is much higher compared to other chains. It handles institutional-level stablecoin settlements and large-scale distributions, not retail-level small exchanges.

Although there are 110 linked Zones through IBC, only 85 are active. This indicates that 23% of the chains are already in a state of death. Liquidity is highly concentrated in the top four chains, while projects outside the top ten have seen their monthly transaction volumes shrink to the million-dollar level, and the ecosystem's retail vitality is severely overdrawn.

The Cosmos Hub has approximately 30,000 monthly active users, which is six times more than Noble (around 5,000 people). However, the money actually flows to Noble. Most Cosmos users mainly stake or observe on the Hub, whereas the stablecoin activities that truly generate value are almost solely dependent on Noble.

The Soul of the Cosmos Ecosystem: How IBC Powers the "Blockchain Internet"

The core narrative of Cosmos is the "Internet of Blockchains" — an internet of blockchains, with IBC (Inter-Blockchain Communication Protocol) being the technology that makes this vision a reality.

IBC is Cosmos's most unique and successful invention. It enables independent sovereign chains to securely and trustlessly communicate and transfer assets to each other, similar to TCP/IP on the internet. Its key features include:

Minimal Trust: Verifying the state of the counterparty chain through light client validation, without the need for asset custody or multi-signature bridges.

Permissionless Interoperability: Anyone can create a channel to support token transfers, Interchain Accounts, Interchain Queries, and more.

Universality: Agnostic to consensus mechanisms, already connected to 110+ chains (Map of Zones data), and expanding to non-Cosmos chains like Ethereum and Optimism.

IBC has demonstrated high security, never experiencing a large-scale exploit, with billions of dollars transferred cumulatively. Despite any controversies in other parts of Cosmos, IBC itself remains a top-tier interoperability solution in the industry.

However, Noble's migration also exposed an awkward aspect of IBC: while it interconnected the world, it couldn't retain projects — as everyone interconnected, they all wanted to dominate as a single chain on the EVM.

Exodus Confirmation: Which Cosmos Projects Have Died or Migrated by 2025-2026?

From 2025 to early 2026, the Cosmos ecosystem experienced a significant "project exodus/closure wave."

First, let's talk about the projects that have completely closed or ceased operations, with most of them having already perished by 2025, leaving only the community's regrets and sporadic maintenance attempts.

The privacy chain Penumbra has shut down completely, with the team exiting. While the chain is being reluctantly maintained by the community, it is mostly ignored, becoming the most typical example of complete closure. Pryzm has also shut down entirely, with Comdex and Kujira falling in succession, the latter even taking down sub-projects like Fusion and Levana, causing a fracture in the entire DeFi ecosystem.

Stride has formally sunsetted, ceasing operations; Quasar and Tower have successively perished, Picasso / Composable trapped users' SOL assets after a crash, leaving users empty-handed. Drop has abandoned its TGE and sunsetted, Milkyway has shut down, Demex failed to recover after a hack, Evmos has also essentially died.

These projects covered multiple tracks such as DEX, lending, privacy, NFTs, among others, mainly due to lackluster growth, insufficient revenue, team attrition, and the long-term aftershocks of Terra's collapse.

Meanwhile, some projects chose to migrate to non-Cosmos stacks or committed the ultimate betrayal to the Cosmos narrative. Except for Noble, Sei had also previously decided to abandon its dual-stack architecture in SIP-3 upgrade, planning to retain only the EVM chain by mid-2026.

Akash is migrating to Solana, while projects like Elys, pStake, Jackal, Omniflix are migrating to Base, Stargaze is forking to an independent chain and planning to migrate to the Cosmos Hub, Shade Protocol (rebranded Feather) first migrated to Sei, with potential further EVM-ization in the future.

The core motivation behind these migrations is almost unanimous: the developer tools, liquidity, and market size of the EVM ecosystem far surpass those of Cosmos; project teams are voting with their feet, choosing to follow the money and opportunities.

There is another group of projects that, while not dead, have entered maintenance mode or resource redirection, with slow project progress.

Osmosis has entered maintenance mode, still maintaining tokenomics and other updates, but with a noticeable outward shift in team resources and a significant drop in activity; Astroport is similar, essentially stagnant; after the Axelar team was acquired by Circle, the original project's influence sharply declined. These projects were once the pillars of Cosmos DeFi but have now become a microcosm of ecosystem contraction.

Mantra has undergone restructuring (January 2026 layoffs, cost optimization) and the OM token crash (nearly 99% drop), but the project is still advancing. The ERC-20 OM migration is underway, with RWA vaults, launchpad, and other features in development, and there will continue to be operations of an IBC-compatible RWA EVM L1.

Furthermore, a large number of DEXs such as Wynd, Hopers, Junoswap, Loop, TerraSwap, among others, closed in 2024-2025. Retail DeFi is basically cooling off, with only institutions and RWAs holding the fort.

The MAP OF ZONES shows IBC connecting 110 chains, but IBC traffic is heavily concentrated in the top few (Noble, Osmosis, Cosmos Hub), and once Noble's liquidity moves away, the entire ecosystem's vitality will be further diminished.

Although the Cosmos 2026 roadmap attempts to reverse the decline through EVM compatibility and high-performance upgrades, Noble's "walkout" undoubtedly reveals a harsh reality: in the face of liquidity, the technological narrative often appears feeble and inadequate.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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