- Buy Crypto
- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
Earn- More
Ray Dalio: The United States is at the brink of the fifth stage of the "Long-Term Debt Cycle," facing risks of a civil war and an order breakdown.
BlockBeats News, January 27th: Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, posted a long article on social media with in-depth analysis, warning that the United States is currently in the fifth stage of his "long-term debt cycle" theory (on the eve of order breakdown), with multiple indicators showing that society may be sliding towards the sixth stage (civil war and order breakdown). His key judgment factors include:
· Deterioration of Finance and Conflict: High government deficits, escalating debt, and a historical high wealth and values gap, creating a "classic deadly combination."
· Populism and Polarization: Increasing political polarization, moderates losing their voice, media becoming a tool of partisan struggle, and the public sphere experiencing a "loss of truth."
· Escalation of Violent Events: The recent death of a protester in Minneapolis and the conflicts between the federal and state governments are typical signs of the transition to the sixth stage.
· System Dysfunction: The legal and political systems are increasingly being used as weapons of conflict, with rules giving way to a "win-at-all-costs" logic.
Ray Dalio stated that the current situation is highly similar to the prelude to the order restructuring of 1930-1945. If consensus cannot be built through leadership and painful but necessary reforms cannot be implemented, society may repeat the mistakes of civil war/revolution. Investors and policymakers should acknowledge the power of cycles, promote productivity-oriented reforms (in education, infrastructure, research), and replace "zero-sum struggles" with "win-win cooperation" to prevent the system from sliding into irreversible collapse. Although the trajectory is difficult to change, before sliding into the sixth stage, it is still possible and necessary to mitigate conflicts through wise choices and reshape broad prosperity.
You may also like
February 9th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?
After being questioned by Vitalik, L2s are collectively saying goodbye to the "cheap" era
WEEX AI Trading Hackathon Paris Workshop Reveals: How Retail Crypto Traders Can Outperform Hedge Funds
Witness how WEEX's Paris AI Trading Hackathon revealed AI's edge over human traders. Explore key strategies, live competition results & how to build your own AI trading bot.
U.S. Oil (USOR) Price Prediction 2026–2030
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil (USOR) is a speculative Solana-based crypto project that aims to index the United States…
USOR Surges on Meme Narrative Despite No Real-World Asset Backing
Key Takeaways: USOR, a Solana-based token, has seen a notable surge driven by speculative narratives rather than verifiable…
How to Buy U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) Cryptocurrency
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) is a Solana-based token primarily traded on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Claims have…
USOR vs Oil ETFs: Understanding Why the ‘Oil Reserve’ Token Doesn’t Track Crude Prices
Key Takeaways The U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) token has become noteworthy for its claims, yet it does not…
Trend Research Reduces Ether Holdings After Major Market Turbulence
Key Takeaways: Trend Research has significantly cut down its Ether holdings, moving over 404,000 ETH to exchanges recently.…
Investors Channel $258M into Crypto Startups Despite $2 Trillion Market Sell-Off
Key Takeaways: Investors pumped approximately $258 million into crypto startups in early February, highlighting continued support for blockchain-related…
NBA Star Giannis Antetokounmpo Becomes Shareholder in Prediction Market Kalshi
Key Takeaways: Giannis Antetokounmpo, the NBA’s two-time MVP, invests in the prediction market platform Kalshi as a shareholder.…
Arizona Home Invasion Targets $66 Million in Cryptocurrency: Two Teens Charged
Key Takeaways Two teenagers from California face serious felony charges for allegedly attempting to steal $66 million in…
El Salvador’s Bukele Approval Reaches Record 91.9% Despite Limited Bitcoin Use
Key Takeaways: El Salvador President Nayib Bukele enjoys a record high approval rating of 91.9% from his populace,…
Crypto Price Prediction for February 6: XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu’s Market Movements
Key Takeaways: The crypto market experienced a notable shift with Bitcoin’s significant surge, impacting altcoins like XRP, Dogecoin,…
China Restricts Unapproved Yuan-Pegged Stablecoins to Maintain Currency Stability
Key Takeaways: China’s central bank and seven government agencies have banned the issuance of yuan-pegged stablecoins abroad without…
Solana Price Prediction: $80 SOL Looks Scary – But Smart Money Just Signaled This Might Be the Bottom
Key Takeaways Despite Solana’s descent to $80, some traders find security as smart money enters the fray, suggesting…
XRP Price Prediction: Major Ledger Upgrade Quietly Activated – Why This Could Be the Most Bullish Signal Yet
Key Takeaways: The activation of the Permissioned Domains amendment on XRPL represents a significant development in XRP’s potential…
Dogecoin Price Prediction: Death Cross Confirmed as DOGE Falls Below $0.10 – Is DOGE Reaching Zero?
Key Takeaways The death cross event signals potential bearish trends for Dogecoin as its price dips under $0.10,…
Stablecoin Inflows Have Doubled to $98B Amid Selling Pressure
Key Takeaways Stablecoin inflows to crypto exchanges have surged to $98 billion, doubling previous levels amidst heightened market…
February 9th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?
After being questioned by Vitalik, L2s are collectively saying goodbye to the "cheap" era
WEEX AI Trading Hackathon Paris Workshop Reveals: How Retail Crypto Traders Can Outperform Hedge Funds
Witness how WEEX's Paris AI Trading Hackathon revealed AI's edge over human traders. Explore key strategies, live competition results & how to build your own AI trading bot.
U.S. Oil (USOR) Price Prediction 2026–2030
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil (USOR) is a speculative Solana-based crypto project that aims to index the United States…
USOR Surges on Meme Narrative Despite No Real-World Asset Backing
Key Takeaways: USOR, a Solana-based token, has seen a notable surge driven by speculative narratives rather than verifiable…
How to Buy U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) Cryptocurrency
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) is a Solana-based token primarily traded on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Claims have…
App